Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.155397 0.177968 0.203719 0.235500 0.273979 0.319461 0.377889
2025-03-23 0.121273 0.150475 0.187543 0.239028 0.310300 0.408033 0.556937
2025-03-30 0.098029 0.128570 0.170377 0.233753 0.331134 0.482067 0.749465
2025-04-06 0.084825 0.116269 0.162024 0.236663 0.362285 0.580120 1.027340
2025-04-13 0.073972 0.104891 0.152078 0.233723 0.381934 0.665232 1.331446
2025-04-20 0.067043 0.098007 0.147356 0.237557 0.413647 0.784654 1.792280
2025-04-27 0.061861 0.092929 0.144422 0.243442 0.450600 0.931256 2.450609
2025-05-04 0.057412 0.088334 0.141399 0.248239 0.486625 1.093817 3.338343
2025-05-11 0.053862 0.084729 0.139446 0.254542 0.528031 1.293845 4.649514
2025-05-18 0.050367 0.080752 0.136153 0.257270 0.561903 1.494136 6.341145
2025-05-25 0.047167 0.076913 0.132534 0.258481 0.592487 1.706041 8.619063
2025-06-01 0.044028 0.072836 0.127882 0.256392 0.613578 1.901730 11.425292
2025-06-08 0.040864 0.068461 0.122208 0.251151 0.625167 2.077046 14.874476
2025-06-15 0.039152 0.066681 0.121652 0.258394 0.678661 2.487880 23.384145
2025-06-22 0.036607 0.063038 0.116715 0.253584 0.691556 2.723358 31.828162
2025-06-29 0.034972 0.061036 0.115071 0.257134 0.735437 3.181680 51.033004
2025-07-06 0.033004 0.058188 0.111220 0.253958 0.753990 3.521373 75.362298
2025-07-13 0.031727 0.056633 0.110096 0.258257 0.804031 4.154369 137.197532
2025-07-20 0.030692 0.055482 0.109761 0.264824 0.867382 5.017857 295.801540
2025-07-27 0.029655 0.054237 0.109054 0.270176 0.929153 6.023925 736.671169
2025-08-03 0.028781 0.053261 0.108877 0.277210 1.003710 7.383569 2681.340250
2025-08-10 0.027757 0.051875 0.107535 0.280256 1.061363 8.766086 14246.992099
2025-08-17 0.026723 0.050388 0.105776 0.281609 1.112006 10.280860 259344.589649